충북연구원

제I장 서론 ························································································································· 1

1. 연구 배경 및 목적 ···········································································································1

2. 연구 내용 및 방법 ·········································································································4

 1) 연구 범위 ···················································································································4

 2) 연구 방법 ···················································································································4

제II장 이론적 논의 ············································································································ 7

1. 저출생·고령화로 인한 인구감소사회로의 전환 ································································7

2. 농촌의 소멸위기지역 지원정책 ······················································································14

3. 농촌지역이 직면한 미래위기 트렌드 분석 ····································································18

 1) 가속화 하는 농촌지역의 인구감소와 고령화 ··························································18

 2) 농촌정책 3.0 : 지역 내부와 외부자원의 연계 강조 ·············································21

제III장 농촌지역 인구감소 현황 및 소멸위기 진단 ······················································· 23

1. 농촌지역 인구동태 및 소멸위기 진단 ···········································································23

 1) 농촌지역 지방 소멸 이슈의 증폭 ···········································································23

 2) 농촌지역 인구감소 현황과 특성 ·············································································27

 3) 농촌지역 인구감소의 동태성과 요인 ·······································································35

2. 농촌지역 인구소멸 위기분석 시뮬레이션 ······································································47

 1) 인구소멸의 인과순환구조와 시뮬레이션 모델 ·························································47

 2) 괴산군의 지방소멸 및 유입정책 효과 시뮬레이션 결과 ········································55

3. 소멸위기 진단 결과의 시점 ···························································································65

 1) 지방소멸 위기의 정해진 미래 ·················································································65

 2) 지방소멸 위기 대응의 레버리지 포인트(Leverage Point) ···································67

제IV장 충북 농촌지역 인구유입 방안 ············································································ 69

1. 인구유입을 위한 농촌지역 매력도의 구성요소 ·····························································69

2. 농촌지역의 매력도를 높이기 위한 지원사업 및 정책사례 분석 ··································72

3. 생활인구 유입 및 활성화 방안 ·····················································································76

 1) 농촌 지역 내 인구변화에 따른 농촌 중심지별 정책 차별화 ·································76

 2) 농촌답고 새로운 기회의 장으로서 농촌 정주공간 조성 ········································79

제V장 결론 및 정책제언 ································································································ 85

1. 결론 ································································································································85

2. 정책제언 ·························································································································87

참고문헌 ·························································································································· 88

Appendix ······················································································································· 93

부록 1: 전국 농촌지역 군 자치단체 인구동태성 자료 ·····················································95

Abstract ·····························································································································97

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